Commentary The unique global geostrategic trends, gathering now for several years, seem ready to coalesce into the significant military and political implications before the end of the year. Combinations of the effects on inflation, food security, supply chain functioning, sociopolitical polarization, and global responses to the Ukraine conflict, by mid-April, seemed likely to lead to the…
Twitter’s Hostile Makeover
When you storm out of a store in disgust at exorbitant prices or shabby service, and vow not to give the establishment your patronage ever again, does that mean you hate capitalism? Far from it—any more than when you storm out of the DMV for the same reasons; the difference, of course, being that in…
Will Chinese Firms in America Agree to Follow US Laws?
Commentary The United States has the most open capital markets in the world where firms come to raise capital. The one clear requirement is that firms follow the laws, rules, and regulations on U.S. securities and finance. Beijing is fighting to see if its firms raising capital in the United States can avoid this basic…
Treasury Curve Un-inverts, Good News or Bad News?
Commentary What “should” have happened last month to the Treasury curve did not. The Federal Reserve, as you know, is in a race with itself to fulfill what are almost certainly politically-driven directives. From the White House through the Halls of Congress, the need for someone somewhere to appear to be doing something about “inflation.”…
A Turbulent Market Ahead?
Commentary Phases of volatility across U.S. stocks have played out in the last two months. After an initial war-driven decline in stocks ended in mid-March, replaced by a retail-driven melt up, the U.S. stock market has been on unstable footing in April. So where do investors go from here? While some experts—such as Goldman Sachs…
The ‘Petroyuan’ Will Not Replace the Petrodollar in Oil Trading
News Analysis Beijing has been pushing to replace the petrodollar with the “petroyuan” in its oil trade with Saudi Arabia, but it is unlikely to happen. Saudi Arabia exports $145 billion worth of oil per year, making it the world’s largest exporter. China buys $204 billion, qualifying it as the world’s largest buyer. Currently, Saudi…
To Compete With China, the US Needs More Entrepreneurs
Commentary Entrepreneurs grease the wheels of economic growth. They create new products and services. They create new jobs. Entrepreneurs are the lifeblood of economies. Of course, one cannot discuss economies without discussing the United States and China. Obviously, the United States offers a more favorable environment to its entrepreneurs than China, a country known for…
This Ain’t Your Daddy’s Inflation: Part 2
Commentary In my first column in this series, I gave Hyman Minsky’s explanation of what caused the stagflation of the 1970s—a credit bubble bursting when the economy was absolutely at its peak caused the stagnation, while high wage and oil price rises caused the inflation. I finished with the essence of Milton Friedman’s very different…
Lockdowns, Not the Pandemic, Created Havoc
Commentary It may be years before we fully realize the ramifications of the lockdown policies governments around the world have imposed on their citizens in response to COVID-19, but evidence of the costs is starting to trickle in. A recent study conducted by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) surveyed thousands of high school…
Be a Reader, Not a Believer
Commentary This Op Ed has been inspired by two comments on my previous (too long, and unfinished) Op Ed on inflation (“This Ain’t Your Daddy’s Inflation”). In it I criticized Milton Friedman, and this elicited these reactions from two readers: “Conservative that I am, I’ve always been a fond believer in Milton Friedman,” wrote MissStofeles….
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