Commentary Rep. Michael McCaul (R-Texas) predicts a Chinese invasion of Taiwan after the Winter Olympics. Maybe. Maybe not. It’s probably easier to predict who will win the Super Bowl than to predict when, if, and how China will make its move on Taiwan. But, timing aside, McCaul is right—the threat is real. China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) has the hardware, weaponry, manpower, and capability to launch an assault across the Taiwan Strait. It has been planning for decades and just might think it can succeed. The PLA might not do it the way American forces would, but the Chinese do a lot of things differently than the Americans. And they often do them very well. However, this writer thinks they won’t do it—at least not an all-out assault to seize Taiwan. They may do something more modest that still humiliates the United States and rattles everybody’s confidence in American might …
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