LONDON—The U.S. Federal Reserve will start raising interest rates from September 2022, economists at the country’s biggest bank said in a 2022 outlook note. JPMorgan expects the central bank to raise rates by 0.25 percent from the third quarter of next year and keep raising them by 25 basis points every quarter “at least until real rates are at zero,” the team led by chief economist Mike Feroli wrote. Ten-year inflation-adjusted yields or “real yields” stood at minus 1.12 percent on Thursday. The bank’s forecast for the first Fed rate hike is a little more conservative than at some rivals, such as Deutsche Bank, which expects the first U.S. hike as early as July 2022. Money markets expect the first increase at a similar time. JPMorgan’s economists expect U.S. economic growth to average 3.5 percent in 2022, compared to 5.5 percent in 2021, and full employment to be achieved by …
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