Commentary
The “new Cold War” is not yet as clearly delineated as Cold War I, but new strategic shapes are definitely emerging. One of those patterns is in the Red Sea and the Horn of Africa, where the United States and Egypt are being outmaneuvered.
Russia, China, and others are gaining traction over arguably the most significant sea lane in the world.
It is true that the United States has begun to rebuild some of the regional momentum it had achieved with the 2020 Abraham Accords, and has begun to rebuild a working relationship with the governments of Israel, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates, all of which have significant Red Sea roles and influence. But all those states have “moved on” in the two years since the U.S. Biden administration disavowed the work of its predecessor Trump administration, in achieving those Abraham Accords….