The Russian economy is on the brink of a financial crisis worse than the 2009 recession, warns the International Institute of Finance (IIF) in a new report (pdf). The bombardment of economic and financial sanctions and the recent action to ban or curtail Russian oil imports could result in an economic contraction of -15 percent for the full year, down from the previous estimate of 3 percent, the association for the global financial services industry stated. The group forecast that other boycotts of Russian energy would threaten Moscow’s ability to import goods and services, a scenario that would exacerbate the recession. Its baseline assumes prolonged fighting without an intense escalation in the military conflict. “We forecast -15 percent annual average growth in 2022, twice as bad as the 2009 recession, with risks tilted to the downside. High energy prices are a mitigating factor currently, boosting the current account surplus and …
-
Recent Posts
-
Archives
- May 2025
- April 2025
- July 2023
- June 2023
- May 2023
- April 2023
- March 2023
- February 2023
- January 2023
- December 2022
- November 2022
- October 2022
- September 2022
- August 2022
- July 2022
- June 2022
- May 2022
- April 2022
- March 2022
- February 2022
- January 2022
- December 2021
- November 2021
- October 2021
- September 2021
- August 2021
- July 2021
- June 2021
- May 2021
- April 2021
- March 2021
- February 2021
- January 2021
- December 2020
- September 2013
- July 2013
- March 2013
- January 2013
- December 2012
- November 2012
- December 1
-
Meta