The United States would have little recourse if China invaded one of the minor islands controlled by Taiwan, according to a new report by Center for a New American Security (CNAS), a Washington-based think tank. The report analyzed the results of a virtual war game carried out by the CNAS Gaming Lab that sought to simulate how the United States, Taiwan, and China would behave if China seized Dongsha, a minor island about 190 miles southeast of Hong Kong. “With few viable coercive options and the onus of escalation falling on the U.S. and Taiwan teams, the game reaffirmed the difficulty of rolling back territorial aggression of this kind,” the report said. War games are not intended to predict future outcomes, the report said. But they are useful for identifying vulnerabilities and exploring different branches of decision making. In this instance, the game underscored several potential weaknesses in how the …
‘Poison Frogs’: US Urged to Make Taiwan Islands Too ‘Painful’ for China to Seize in Response to War Game Results
October 27, 2021
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BeijingCCPCenter for a New American SecurityChinaCNASdefensedeterrenceIndo-PacificmilitaryNational SecurityPLASpecial TopicsstrategySubverting TaiwanTAIPEITaiwanUnited StatesUS-China relationsWargameWashington
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