Poll aggregator and analytics website FiveThirtyEight’s midterm forecasting model shows Republicans are favorites to take control of the Senate next week.
Since July, the model had favored Democrats to win the upper chamber. The election forecaster has long predicted that the GOP would retake the House.
As of Wednesday, Republicans have a 53 percent chance of taking a majority in the Senate, compared to Democrats’ 47 percent chance, according to the FiveThirtyEight model. In mid-September, FiveThirtyEight’s model showed Democrats had a 71 percent chance of maintaining control of the Senate.
“The Senate is currently a toss-up. The party that wins two of the three closest states will likely win the Senate majority. Republicans’ two best pick-up opportunities are Nevada and Georgia,” it said. “However, Herschel Walker’s scandals may hurt his chances against Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock. Meanwhile, Democrats are hoping to pick up a seat in Pennsylvania, but that race has gotten a lot tighter recently.”…