Commentary
Elections, even in small nation-states, can have global consequences, and three national elections, at least in 2023, will have significant strategic ramifications beyond their borders: those in Nigeria, Turkey, and New Zealand.
Nigeria’s Feb. 25 presidential and parliamentary elections are the most important of Africa’s 10 scheduled 2023 elections because Nigeria is both Africa’s largest economy and its largest population. And as Nigeria goes, so does much of the fortune of sub-Saharan Africa. Until this election, Nigeria has been in a protracted downward spiral—economically and socially—and the 2023 election offers a unique opportunity for a breakthrough.
Without that breakthrough, Nigeria risks “business as usual”: a continued downward spiral….