Category: Thinking About China

The Kabul Effect and the New Axis of Evil

Commentary The butterfly effect, as you are no doubt aware, is a phenomenon whereby small changes in a localized, complex system result in enormous changes elsewhere. If I may exaggerate a little, the flap of a butterfly’s wings in Tokyo has the potential to produce an earthquake in Tehran. What about the “Kabul effect,” a…


A Nuclear Breakout by Red China Has Always Been in Play

Commentary The China Aerospace Studies Institute at the U.S. Air Force’s Air University recently posted some overhead photos of a possible intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) silo site in Hanggin Banner, Ordos City, Inner Mongolia. The ICBM silo is the third of three such sites in which there has been a flurry of media reports in…


China Breaks Promise to US on Airlines and Gets a Tiny Slap on the Wrist

Commentary China and the United States are in a tit-for-tat fight over airline travel between the two countries. China started it, by unfairly imposing restrictions on United Airlines for some of its passengers who tested positive for COVID-19 after they landed. Hitting China back for this predatory air travel policy is the right strategy. But…


Designate the Taliban as a Terrorist Organization: It’s Long Overdue

Commentary The chaos unfolding in Afghanistan is the result of a failure of American strategy, intelligence, and will. As the lead member of the alliance against the Taliban, and as the lead country that sought to bring democracy to Afghanistan, the United States must take responsibility for its failure. The elements of that failure are…


As Hong Kong’s Freedoms Die, the Communist Leaders Call It a ‘New Beginning’

Commentary I have a countdown app installed on my Apple iPhone to remind me of crucial dates and events that I need to take action on, as I think that my time for expressing myself freely could be further restrained, and so every second is precious. As a Hongkonger living in Hong Kong, but at…


Afghanistan Debacle Could Preview Biden’s Dealings With China

Commentary With desperate Afghans clinging to departing American airplanes, the fall of Afghanistan is being compared to the American evacuation of Saigon in 1975. The Taliban takeover may also preview how President Joe Biden would handle a military confrontation with China, perhaps over Taiwan. As vice president, Biden got control of China policy through the…


Safeguarding Chinese Dissidents and How the World Can Use Xi Jinping’s Power Grab Against Himself

Commentary I’ve written earlier in these pages on how China’s judiciary, flawed to start with, has been deteriorating further with each passing year of Xi Jinping’s leadership, and how that deterioration is a natural and logical outcome of his attempt to gain stronger political control over, not only the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), but the…


It’s Time for a Pan-Asian Missile Shield

Commentary Missile defense is not only a reality in the Indo-Pacific but also a necessity. Nearly every country in the region is acquiring some kind of capability to blunt the threat from a proliferating number and variety of ballistic, cruise, and even hypersonic missiles. The next step—and one where the United States should take the…


Afghanistan and Taiwan

Commentary In the wake of the collapse of the government of Afghanistan and the evacuation of Americans and their Afghan staff members and supporters, a big question is what implications this may have for Taiwan and other American allies in the Indo-Pacific region. The Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP’s) international mouthpiece, Global Times, has been quick…


What Happens in Afghanistan Doesn’t Stay in Afghanistan

Commentary George Orwell wrote, “The quickest way of ending a war is to lose it.” The Biden administration tried that idea on for size in Afghanistan. But here’s the problem: losing a war rarely means you put the unpleasantness behind you and move on to things you’d rather deal with. Instead, lose a war and…