Category: Business Columnists

The US and EU Are in a Subsidy Race: Let’s Tariff China Instead

Commentary The United States and European Union are entering a green subsidy race that will determine where millions of electric vehicles will be manufactured over the next decades. EV sales in the United States, for example, are projected to double by 2025 to nearly 2.5 million. Car manufacturers around the world want a piece of…


How the Boom Bust Works

Commentary If you have a house for sale, you might want to get in front of the market and lower the price dramatically now. I know it hurts, but housing prices are highly sensitive to 30-year mortgage rates. The higher the monthly payment goes, the lower the price paid for the home itself will be….


The FTX Collapse: A ‘Perfect Crisis’ With Many Unanswered Questions

Commentary As the impact of the FTX collapse continues to unfold, there are several aspects of the event that reach well beyond the cryptocurrency world. And as more information comes out, the more important the situation appears. A Few Facts and Curious Coincidences First of all, the massive financial scandal has left investors with billions…


The Bull Case Has Two Problems

Commentary Since the beginning of October, the market has performed better as a “Fed Pivot” bull case pushed investors into the market. We previously laid out the case for a strong “short squeeze” around the lows of September, stating: “Currently, everybody is bearish. Not just in terms of ‘investor sentiment’ but also in ‘positioning.’ As shown, professional investors (as represented by…


Beijing Finally Wakes Up

Commentary After more than a year of delay, equivocation, and finger-pointing, Beijing seems to have awakened to its economy’s needs. The authorities have moved to enhance the liquidity of real estate developers. As this column has pointed out for months, this is something the authorities should have done more than a year ago when Evergrande…


The Economic War With China

Commentary Before wars become hot and kinetic, with missiles flying, they usually creep up into the sphere of trade and economics. Situational awareness of this dynamic is critical, so the missiles don’t surprise us if they do fly. The norm in trade relations is mutual benefit through comparative advantage. This is the “friendly competition” that…


One If By Lenovo, Two If By TikTok

Commentary Things were a lot simpler when we were fighting the Redcoats nearly two and a half centuries ago. Before he famously rode into history in the midnight hour, alerting Colonial militia of the approach of British troops, Paul Revere arranged for Boston’s North Church to use lanterns in its steeple to signal to colonists…


Asian Investment Bolsters US Manufacturing Revival

News Analysis A Taiwanese chipmaking giant is doubling down on a sprawling factory it’s building north of Phoenix, adding to a wave of Asian investment that is boosting employment in the resurgent U.S. manufacturing sector. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), Apple’s exclusive chip supplier, aims to make silicon chips using its advanced 5-nanometer production process…


Progressives Determined to Accept Higher Inflation

Commentary “Having a little inflation is like being a little pregnant.” — Leon Henderson, FDR Administration This past summer, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Ma.) berated Larry Summers and other interest rate hawks for possibly causing a recession with their calls for higher rates. She called Summers “someone who has never worried about where his next paycheck will come…


An Economic Candle Burning From Both Ends

Commentary Some facts of our times follow. As you read, consider your own household and portfolios and how they measure up. Disposable personal income per capita has been in decline in real terms for 19 straight months. This is not just dollar amounts but dollars adjusted for purchasing power. We are just now level with…