Commentary 
The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) signals a recession is coming—again. The reason I say “again” is because, in September 2019, we discussed these same signals:
“Today, we once again see many of the early warnings. If you have been paying attention to the trend of the economic data, and the yield curve, the warnings are becoming more pronounced.
In 2007, the market warned of a recession 14 months in advance of the recognition.
Today, you may not have as long as the economy is running at one-half the rate of growth.”
Of course, we now know the recession hit just five months later….